AFL - Betting Systems - Week 13

GreenValley · May 21, 2008

Five weeks left in the season and I can see some of the teams desperately trying to make the playoffs and others jockeying for position. Here's what the qualifiers look like for this week.

System 2......5-9 Under TY
Cleveland Under
Arizona Under
Georgia Under

System 3......4-14 Under TY
Georgia Under

System 10......3-10-1 Under TY
Philadelphia Under
Cleveland Under
Utah Under
Arizona Under
Colorado Under
Georgia Under

System 11......Over Plays......1-4 Under TY
Arizona Over

System 11......Under Plays......5-8 Under TY
Philadelphia Under
Cleveland Under
Colorado Under
Chicago Under
Colorado Under

System 12......10-2 ATS TY
Kansas City

Notes:
Grand Rapids and Arizona totals have systems on both sides.

Comments:
Again system 11 over plays came up short last week as speculated earlier that the numbers just being to damn high to make them effective.
What looks like a lot of unders are overlaps in systems pointing in the same direction.

Trends Of Interest:
New York 14-1 SU vs. teams under .250%
Orlando 13-2 SU at Home on Fridays
San Jose 33-9 SU at Home vs. teams with losing records. (4-0 TY)
Georgia 5-12 Under as road dog

BOL,
Green Valley

METFAN · May 22, 2008

THANKS GREEN VALLEY...ALREADY 2-0 THIS WEEK:toast:

I WISH I COULD OF GOT A MONEY LINE ON KC .IMAGINE A 17.5 UNDERDOG WINS OUT RIGHT:toast:

GreenValley · May 23, 2008

Metfan

If we only knew ahead of time - - right?

From the FWIW department comes this observation.

There have been close to 100 games played so far and there have been 5 double-digit dogs that have won outright. Taking some very nice ML prices I might add. That comes to one DD outright win for every 20 games played.

If you figure in that there is almost 40 games remaining, one might conclude that it's possible for 2 more times that a DD team wins the game SU.

Nobody is clairvoyant, but if a person has the oppotunity in the final 4 weeks, they could stumble across a couple of winners.

BOL,
Green Valley

METFAN · May 25, 2008

THANKS GREEN VALLEY..ALL THE UNDERS HIT...YOUR PLAYS SAVED MY ASS

:toast:

AFLGuru · May 25, 2008

Was a VERY weird week 13 for sides. Utah, Columbus, and Kansas City all winning OUTRIGHT.

GreenValley · May 25, 2008

All

If by any chance Georgia goes under on Monday night, and I hope they do, that would place the System 10 results for 2008 at 3-16-1 Under. That being the end of the month of May.

Add that to the 8-54 Under the previous four years and you have an atounding 5 year payoff of 11-70 Under for a nice chunk of change. We did have a few more games to work with this year with all the high totals, which could also help System 11 for the balance of the year, as that sits a 5-12 Under.

In addition to the usual systems remaining, on Tuesday morning I'll post some end of season total trends worth incorporating into you capping process.

BOL,
Green Valley